10 Social Video Predictions For 2014

08.01.2014 by Sarah Wood

By Unruly COO Sarah Wood

2013 was a watershed year for social video advertising. But what can we expect in 2014?

Well, here are our 10 predictions for 2014:

 

1. New tools will emerge to help real-time marketers become more ‘agile’

In 2014, we'll see the emergence of new tools and platforms to support the macro-trend towards content marketing and real-time marketing, with more brands becoming newsrooms for their niche. It will lead to greater investment in content discovery, content curation and content creation as brands vie with each other for consumers' share of mind on social platforms.

Brands will need a bigger tool kit which allows them to spot which content is trending (news stories, images and videos) and respond quickly. The rise in short-form content has been a significant help here, as it has whittled down the length in production lead times and enables brands to be relevant and develop longer, deeper relationships.

2. Brands will explore the wearable tech marketing opportunity

The next generation of advertising will see brands making use of more complex and more varied data sets to improve targeting and timing e.g. only advertising woolly hats in cities where temperatures have fallen overnight or advertising umbrellas in areas where it's forecast to rain.

A great example of this is the recent rise in so-called ‘wearable tech’, such as Google Glass, the Nymi wristband (which unlocks devices based on the unique pattern of your heartbeat) the Samsung smartwatch and the Nike FuelBand.

Recent research suggests there will soon be more than 24 billion connected devices across the planet, while some are predicting that by the end of 2014 10% of light bulbs will be hooked up to the internet.

It’s a huge marketing opportunity for brands, which will need to navigate the opportunities and challenges presented by wearable technology and smart-appliances.

Yes, the Internet of Things will open up the possibility of hyper-geo-located targeting. For example, sausage ads as you open your fridge; replaced by porridge oats ads if your cholesterol reading is high or an ad for sunscreen displayed on your smartwatch if the UV rays are high when you open your front door.

Relevance and utility will be key to success for brands that want to play in this emerging space.

 

3. Mobile will truly become the first screen

Engagement rates on mobile devices exploded in 2013. Looking at Unruly’s campaigns alone, click-through-rates (CTR) on smartphones and tablets more than tripled.

It’s a trend that looks likely to continue into 2014, with mobile video predicted to increase 25-fold between 2011 and 2016, accounting for over 70 percent of total mobile data traffic by the end of the forecast period (Source: Cisco).

In fact, more than 70% of Twitter’s ad revenues worldwide came from mobile in Q3 2013, according to the company’s IPO filing. At Facebook, mobile has already grown to 49% of ad revenues and will likely move ahead of desktop as a percentage of revenues as soon as Q4 2013.

As Facebook’s Carolyn Everson puts it, “[mobile] is the first screen, and I think it’s the most important screen, which means it’s going to be used for virtually every aspect of the marketing funnel—from brand building all the way to driving very specific direct-response objectives.”

It means during the next 12 months, we are going to see marketers spend larger chunks of their advertising budgets on mobile. How much will depend on how well companies specialising in social advertising find formats beyond the banner.

 

4. The Prankvert will make way for the Trackvert

The thin line between advertising and music videos became a lot thinner in 2013.

Of course, product placements are nothing new. From shameless movie plugs to Hollywood being 'caught' with shopping bags, we have all seen A-listers flaunt their supposed tastes in fashion and cars for extra money over the years.

But over the last few months there have been a lot more ads which could arguably be identified as both a music video and a full-blown ad.

Notable examples include Beyonce’s video for H&M, singer Arianna and rapper Pitbull’s ‘The FIAT Song’ and Volvo’s partnership with Swedish House Mafia. This ‘trackvertising trend’ is set to continue in 2014.

During the next few months, we expect to see a lot more ads that push the boundaries between music video and ad.

It makes sense. Well, firstly, music videos are by far the most shared videos on the web. Just look at the top 100 most shared videos on the Unruly Viral Video Chart and you will see what I mean.

Altogether, of the top 100, only one, Kony 2012 at #62, is not a music video. Huge viral sensations like “Talking Twin Babies” or “Charlie Bit My Finger” barely makes it on to the top 200. Secondly, music and advertising is a magical combination.

Look at the greatest online ads of all time, and the vast majority boast an incredible song or catchy jingle. It's not hard to see why. After all, recent academic research has found that the most shared ads are the ones which elicit the strongest emotions from its audience. And what better way to elicit strong feelings of joy, sadness or exhilaration than through music? We will have to wait how the trackvert trend evolves in 2014.

 

5. Social video will amplify TV spend and demand TV budgets

Social video advertising - which sits at the intersection of social, mobile and video, the three hottest trends in digital marketing - has long been overshadowed by TV.

But in 2014, we are going to see social video demanding a far larger share of the marketing pie.

Don’t just take our word for it. eMarketer predicted in a recent report: “As the lines between TV advertising and digital video advertising continue to blur, social media companies will aggressively go after those ad dollars.  The intersection of social media and TV, already a big story in 2013, will only get bigger next year.”

This will be fed by the launch of Facebook’s new video ad platform, while Twitter will also play a big part in 2014.

Video is clearly very important to Twitter’s strategy. That's why they shelled out $90M for Bluefin Labs, the social TV analytics company in February this year, partnered with Nielsen to add social buzz to TV measurement, and have been partnering left, right and centre with the big US TV networks.

Twitter’s proposition to brand advertisers is to amplify on social what they're doing on TV. It's a compelling pitch, and they're well ahead of Facebook with it. And mobile is the critical channel for social amplification as it’s the device everyone is clutching whilst they're watching TV.

 

6. Brands will question the value of a view

The value of a video view will come under huge scrutiny in 2014, as more and more brands will want to know their ad is actually in view and we’ll see a growing demand for guaranteed viewability.

Secondly, the main purpose of digital video will change from purely brand awareness (cited by 94.6% of US media agencies as the prime objective of their campaigns) to other metrics further down the funnel.

It’s not just about YouTube now. Smart marketers and brands are engaging consumers in their own native environments across the Open Web.

We’ve already seen markers adopting the “share” as a measure of engagement and advocacy; over the next few months we expect to see more and more brands using video to deliver uplifts in other brand metrics, such as purchase intent.

 

7. Big data will be cut down to size

Did you know that 2.5 quintillion bytes of data are created by sales and marketing organizations every 24 hours? (source: IBM)

It’s an eye-watering number, which shows just how living in the information age has armed marketing professionals with more statistics than ever before.

Yet despite this overabundance of data, according to Forrester, nearly half of the 68% who said they planned to increase data-related marketing spending in 2014, saw analyzing the data as their biggest marketing challenge.

It shows that the true value of Big Data lies with determining what is useful and what is not.

The ‘so what?’ test has never been more useful for marketers looking to make the most of the vast amounts of data they now have at their fingertips. So in 2014 we expect to see Big Data cut down to size and broken up into smaller, more-manageable pieces. After all, Big Data is most useful when combined with human thinking rather than seeking to replace it.

 

8. Facebook will shake up the video ecosystem

Facebook introduced its much-anticipated video advertising stream at the end of 2013.

It means that rather than just embeddable videos, brands can now place auto-play ads directly into users’ news feeds.

It’s a game-changing move by the social network, with Morgan Stanley predicting Facebook video ads could be worth $1billion market to the social media giant by the end of 2014, a figure which could rocket to $5.5 billion by 2019.

However, the challenge is user tolerance. Inserting video into a social, intimate, high engagement channel such as the newsfeed places stringent requirements on content quality. The onus will also be on brands to create ads that will resonate online, not just TV ads that have been repurposed for the web. As long as Facebook continues to respect the demands of this new paradigm, it should have a winner on its hands.

 

9. More brands will play the long game with short form video platforms

Whether you wanted a six-second fix or your 15 seconds of fame, the short-form revolution, led by Vine and Instagram Video, was certainly a big feature of 2013.

Boasting 200+ million users between them, advertisers have also been quick to embrace the notion that less really can be more, with 40% of the top 1,000 Instagram videos coming from brands (source: Unruly Viral Video Chart). Such popularity showed a real hunger to look at other video alternatives beyond YouTube.

Brands experimented with short form content in 2013, but in 2014 we’ll see platforms such as Vine and Instagram being integrated more meaningfully into marketing programmes.

But the success of Vine and Instagram Video is only the start. The rise in short-form content has only kick-started the further fragmentation in the video ecosystem, the cracks of which will only become deeper in 2014 thanks largely to Facebook’s game-changing move into the video market.

New players like Snapchat, Line and Keek will also have their say as advertisers look to make the most of this new trend of ‘ephemeral content’ over the coming months.

However, ultimately, the consumer will decide what and how much content they consume. The challenge for brands will be how to make best use of these new channels. 

 

10. Brands will make it big in Brazil

With a massive year for football ahead, it’s highly likely a brand will pick up on the combination of music, football and exhilaration to create a crossover video that hits the back of the net.

The World Cup in 2014 is a huge opportunity for brands hoping to make it big in Brazil, which was recently dubbed by The Wall Street Journal as the "social media capital of the universe".

What’s more, Brazil is a country of self-confessed video junkies. It boasts the highest levels of video sharing in the world, so there’s an opportunity to kick-start a viral cascade that will ricochet around the world.

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